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Forex Alerts 10/24/2008

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Alert - 15:15 (CET) - AudJpy



The AudJpy is trading at 57.11, ranging between 55.20 and 66.18. Checking the hourly graphics, we see that the 20- and 50-day EMA are under the 200-day EMA.

As the price broke the supports at 62.35 (July 24th, 2003 low) and 58.11 (September 20th, 2001 low), the traders are watching the next at 55.48 (0.00% retracement). They are also keeping an eye on the resistances at 72.36 (October 9th high), 82.85 (October 3rd high) anda 90.27 (September 22nd high).

The Yen advanced 32.3% this month against the Aussie, as the stock uncertai ties and global recession fears are sinking the commodities markets. As Australia is a metal exporter, its currency feels the swings of the commodities.

Checking the daily graphics we see that the pair is visiting September's 2003 levels, when the credit bubble was starting to inflate in the next years, stimulating the buying of high yielders. As it is known, that bubble burst when Lehman Brothers failed this past September.

From here, and considering the stocks volatilty, the investores are going back to the Yen safe haven. In the medium term, the AudJpy market could contemplate the October 2000 low at 55.57 yens per aussie.

Meanwhile, the 60-minute RSI is at 28 points, after being even more oversold. The average volatility per hour could reach 1400 pips. Checking the daily graphics, the current price is under the 23.60% (71.23) and over the 0.00% (55.48) Fibonacci retracements lines.




ACM Advanced Currency Markets SA (hereinafter referred as ACM) is a professional financial intermediary, directly regulated by the Swiss Federal Department of Finance, Anti Money Laundering Control Authority. As forex specialist, ACM provides only currency and precious metals trading via highly professional forex trading software. All customers are aware that this information or any part thereof has been prepared without taking account of your objectives, financial situation and/or needs. This information is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. The analysis is based on the information which ACM finds reliable and accurate, but ACM does not assume any responsibility for any material nor for the transactions made on the basis of the information or the estimates of the analysis. ACM cannot guarantee that these forecasts will materialize and cannot be held liable in any way for direct, indirect and/or consequential loss arising from any use of this information, document or its content. All opinions and estimates constitute ACM analysis as of the data and are subject to change without notice. ACM does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of information contained herein, such information is subject to change and is not intended to influence your investment decisions. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 

 
 
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