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Gold Slumps On China Speculation


March 09, 2010 5:18 PM CET

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
JPY0.58
AUD0.20
CAD0.04
NZD0.00
CHF-0.35
NOK-0.41
EUR-0.43
DKK-0.44
GBP-0.67
SEK-0.74

Global Indexes Current Level % Change
FTSE 100 Index5'598.23- 0.15
DAX Index5'875.50- 0.01
SMI Index6'865.26+ 0.21
S&P 500 Index1'141.15+ 0.23
DJIA Index10'575.64+ 0.22
Nikkei 225 Futures10'450.00- 0.67
Hang Seng Futures21'198.00+ 0.59

World Markets Current Level % Change
Gold1'117.60- 0.53
Silver17.17- 0.43
VIX17.97+ 1.01
Crude wti81.36- 0.62
USD Index80.61+ 0.22

Todays Calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
Wed 10 Mar---------
Germany: Final HICP, % m/m (y/y) Feb0.2 (0.3)0.2 (0.3)EUR/07:00
Industrial production, % m/m Jan0.81.8SEK/08:30
CPI, % m/m (y/y) Feb0.9 (2.6)0.2 (2.5)NOK/09:00
Industrial production, % m/m (y/y) Jan0.3 (-0.8)0.5 (-3.6)GBP/09:30
Manufacturing output, % m/m (y/y) Jan0.2 (1.4)0.9 (-1.9)GBP/09:30
Wholesale inventories, %m/m Jan0.2-0.8USD/15:00

Currency Tech

EURUSD
R 2: 1.3800
R 1: 1.3735
CURRENT: 1.3570
S 1: 1.3444
S 2: 1.3425

USDJPY
R 2: 91.90
R 1: 90.70
CURRENT: 89.80
S 1: 89.50
S 2: 88.15

GBPUSD
R 2: 1.5350
R 1: 1.5278
CURRENT: 1.4970
S 1: 1.4900
S 2: 1.4857

AUDUSD
R 2: 0.9280
R 1: 0.9170
CURRENT: 0.9120
S 1: 0.8935
S 2: 0.8790

USDCAD
R 2: 1.0530
R 1: 1.0490
CURRENT: 1.0270
S 1: 1.0200
S 2: 1.0100

Market Brief

• UK BRC Retail Sales (Feb) rose +2.2% y/y
• France’s Trade Deficit (Jan) was better than expected at EUR -3.681bn
• Switzerland CPI (Feb) ticked down to+0.9% y/y (1.0% expected, 1.0% prior)
• UK Trade Deficit (Jan) came out at a lower than anticipated GBP -7.987bn (7.00bn expected) but last month’s reading revised up to -7.01bn from -7.28bn
• An article in the UK’s Guardian reports that Europe bars Wall Street banks from government bond sales
• French Economy Minister Lagarde quoted as saying European Monetary Fund idea interesting but not a short term priority
• According to the IMF, Chinese growth may lead to changes in Yuan valuation "in coming months"
• Gold is lower today after headlines suggested China no longer puts gold as a major component of foreign exchange (lows today $1108.88)
• Fed’s Evans said inflation is “significantly below” his benchmark, and added accommodative policy likely to be “appropriate for some time”.



China Adds Clarity to Potential Exchange Rate Flexibility


March 09, 2010 8:44 AM CET

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
JPY0.51
AUD-0.08
CAD-0.12
CHF-0.20
EUR-0.21
NZD-0.22
DKK-0.35
NOK-0.35
SEK-0.44
GBP-0.62

Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index10,567.65- 0.10
Hang Seng Index21,212.68+ 0.07
Shanghai Index3,069.14+ 0.52
FTSE futures5,590.00+ 0.53
DAX futures5,867.50- 0.08
SMI Futures6,858.00+ 0.08
S&P future1,134.60- 0.21

World Markets Current Level % Change
Gold1,122.06- 0.13
Silver17.16- 0.49
VIX17.79+ 2.12
Crude wti81.50- 0.45
USD Index80.57+ 0.17

Todays Calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
CPI, % m/m (y/y)0.2 (1.0)-0.1 (1.0)CHF / 08.15
CPI (% y/y)--0.7CZK / 09.00
Trade balance, £ bn---7.3GBP / 09.30
NFIB small business optimism index--89.3USD / 12.30
Chicago Fed President Evans (FOMC non-voter) speak----USD / 14.30
CPI (% m/m)0.511.09MXN / 16.00
RBA Deputy Governor Lowe speaks in Sydney----AUD / 22.00

Currency Tech

EURUSD
R 2: 1.3800
R 1: 1.3735
CURRENT: 1.3606
S 1: 1.3444
S 2: 1.3425

USDJPY
R 2: 91.40
R 1: 90.55
CURRENT: 89.92
S 1: 89.50
S 2: 88.15

GBPUSD
R 2: 1.5350
R 1: 1.5255
CURRENT: 1.4982
S 1: 1.5000
S 2: 1.4857

AUDUSD
R 2: 0.9280
R 1: 0.9170
CURRENT: 0.9098
S 1: 0.8935
S 2: 0.8790

USDCAD
R 2: 1.0530
R 1: 1.0490
CURRENT: 1.0279
S 1: 1.0200
S 2: 1.0100

Market Brief

• Japan Jan leading index rose 2.4 points, coincident index up 2.5 points.
• UK Feb RICS house price balance jumped to 17 vs. 30 exp lowest since Aug "09, prior Jan reading 31.
• UK Feb BRC like-for-like retail sales 2.2% y/y vs.Jan -0.7%, lowest in survey history, while Feb total sales 4.5%
• Australia Feb NAB business conditions index rose to 8, confidence climbed 19, Jan 3, 15.
• Australia Feb job ads 19.1% m/m, highest in yr, newspaper 13.1%, internet 19.6%.
• According to a UK Times poll Labor-Tories are currently neck-neck in marginal seats
• Wall Street Journal states that Moody’s sees UK bank bailout wind-down could trigger UK bank ratings cuts.
• In China, SAFEs Yi Gang states that reserves are appropriately diversified in USD, EUR, JPY and emerging ccys and reiterates yesterdays Wen comment on the CNY exchange rate policy.



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