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Risk Appetite Roars Higher As Eurozone And US Data Impresses


March 12, 2010 5:55 PM CET

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
GBP1.04
CAD0.99
CHF0.95
SEK0.95
DKK0.65
NOK0.65
EUR0.64
NZD0.26
AUD0.25
JPY-0.24

Global Indexes Current Level % Change
FTSE 100 Index5'620.82+ 0.06
DAX Index5'944.83+ 0.27
SMI Index6'830.71- 0.31
S&P 500 Index1'150.41+ 0.01
DJIA Index10'626.36+ 0.14
Nikkei 225 Futures10'680.00+ 0.22
Hang Seng Futures21'153.00+ 0.30

World Markets Current Level % Change
Gold1'107.00- 0.23
Silver17.16- 0.12
VIX18.36+ 1.66
Crude wti82.28+ 0.21
USD Index79.80- 0.65

Todays Calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
No further releases---------

Currency Tech

EURUSD
R 2: 1.3850
R 1: 1.3800
CURRENT: 1.3755
S 1: 1.3530
S 2: 1.3425

USDJPY
R 2: 92.15
R 1: 91.90
CURRENT: 90.45
S 1: 89.50
S 2: 88.15

GBPUSD
R 2: 1.5350
R 1: 1.5278
CURRENT: 1.5190
S 1: 1.4857
S 2: 1.4780

AUDUSD
R 2: 0.9325
R 1: 0.9280
CURRENT: 0.9155
S 1: 0.8935
S 2: 0.8790

USDCAD
R 2: 1.0530
R 1: 1.0490
CURRENT: 1.0180
S 1: 1.0155
S 2: 1.0100

Market Brief

• Austrian newspaper Der Kurier reports that France and Germany are debating a EUR55 bln rescue as soon as Easter
• Turkey agrees with IMF on fiscal rule but opinions said to differ on projections
• Eurozone Industrial Production (Jan) smashed estimates at +1.7% MoM (+0.7% expected) and last month’s -1.7% print was revised up significantly to +0.6% causing a strong EURUSD rally to 1.3797 highs.
• SNB rumoured to be active in the CHF market, but EURCHF still hits new lows today at 1.4577.
• The dollar index hit 79.697 early in the US session, its lowest level since February
• US Retail Sales (Feb) was much higher than forecast at +0.3% MoM (-0.2% expected), but some gains pared by downward revisions to the month prior from +0.5% to +0.1%
• US U.Mich Sentiment (Mar) missed estimates at 72.5 (74.0 expected, 73.6 prior)
• US Business Inventories (Jan) came out at 0.0% MoM (0.1% expected, prior revised to -0.3% from -0.2%)



BoJ Poised to Ease


March 12, 2010 8:40 AM CET

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
CAD0.37
NOK0.29
SEK0.27
AUD0.25
CHF0.19
DKK0.15
EUR0.12
NZD0.10
GBP0.10
JPY-0.09

Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index10,751.26+ 0.80
Hang Seng Index21,149.32- 0.37
Shanghai Index3,013.41- 1.20
FTSE futures5,609.50- 0.33
DAX futures5,943.00+ 0.38
SMI Index6,876.00+ 0.37
S&P future1,150.60+ 0.42

World Markets Current Level % Change
Gold1,113.39+ 0.35
Silver17.18+ 0.09
VIX18.06- 2.74
Crude wti82.15+ 0.04
USD Index80.23- 0.11

Todays Calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
Industrial production, %0.7-1.7 (-5.0EUR / 10.00
BoE MPC member Spencer Dale speaks----GBP / 11.00
Retail sales, %m/m0.10.5USD / 13.30
Retail sales ex-autos,0.20.6USD / 13.30
Core retail sales, %m/m--0.8USD / 13.30
U. Mich. Consumer sentiment, index73.773.6USD / 14.55
Business inventories, %m/m0.1-0.2USD / 15.00
ECB President Trichet speaks----EUR / 20.45

Currency Tech

EURUSD
R 2: 1.3800
R 1: 1.3735
CURRENT: 1.3700
S 1: 1.3530
S 2: 1.3425

USDJPY
R 2: 92.15
R 1: 91.90
CURRENT: 90.62
S 1: 89.50
S 2: 88.15

GBPUSD
R 2: 1.5350
R 1: 1.5278
CURRENT: 1.5049
S 1: 1.4857
S 2: 1.4780

AUDUSD
R 2: 0.9325
R 1: 0.9280
CURRENT: 0.9160
S 1: 0.8935
S 2: 0.8790

USDCAD
R 2: 1.0530
R 1: 1.0490
CURRENT: 1.0237
S 1: 1.0200
S 2: 1.0100

Market Brief

• New Zealand Jan retail sales m/m 0.8% vs. 0.5% exp, y/y 2.3% vs. 3.6% exp, ex-autos 0.3% m/m vs. 0.9% exp.
• New Zealand Feb median house prices unch m/m, 6.1% y/y, sales 37.2% and -3.8%, residential house price index 0.4% m/m
• According to Bloomberg US President Obama is to nominate SF Fed President Yellen to be FOMC ViceChair
• Japanese Prime Minister Hatoyama states will respond to yen rise if not reflecting fundamentals and that the BoJ and government must work together
• BoJ lis ikely to focus on proposal to double scale of QE to Y20 trln according to media publications



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