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European Session: Stocks Still Feel Heavy


September 02, 2009 12:12 PM CEST

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
JPY0.32
AUD0.16
DKK-0.05
EUR-0.15
CAD-0.15
GBP-0.24
SEK-0.27
CHF-0.28
NZD-0.30
NOK-0.55

Global Indexes Current Level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index10,280.46- 2.37
Hang Seng Index19,548.64- 1.64
Shanghai Index2,714.97+ 1.16
FTSE 100 Index4,820.31+ 0.01
DAX Index5,320.43- 0.12
SMI Index6,117.32- 0.17
S&P future993.40- 0.31

World Markets Current Level % Change
Gold954.68- 0.17
Silver14.97- 0.33
VIX29.15+ 12.07
Crude wti68.22+ 0.24
USD Index78.77+ 0.65

Todays Calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
COPOM interest rate announcement, %Sep8.758.75BRL / --
Construction PMI, indexAug48.047.0GBP / 08.28
PPI, % m/m (y/y)Jul-0.6,-8.50.3,-6.6EUR / 09.00
GDP, % q/qQ2-0.1 ,-4.60.1,-4.6FEUR / 09.00
ADP payrolls (chg, k)Aug-241-371USD / 12.15
Non-farm productivity, % q/q saar (y/y)Q2 F6.1 (1.8)6.4 (1.8)PUSD / 12.30
Unit labour cost, % q/q saar (y/y)Q2 F-5.5 ,-0.5-5.8, -0.6USD / 12.30
FRB of Atlanta President Lockhart (FOMC voter) par----USD / 15.30
FOMC minutes published----USD / 18.00

Currency Tech

AUDUSD
R 2: 0.8520
R 1: 0.8479
CURRENT: 0.8295
S 1: 0.8240
S 2: 0.8150

USDCAD
R 2: 1.1125
R 1: 1.1090
CURRENT: 1.1045
S 1: 1.0873
S 2: 1.0790

EURJPY
R 2: 136.10
R 1: 135.00
CURRENT: 131.88
S 1: 130.45
S 2: 129.35

USDMXN
R 2: 13.755
R 1: 13.685
CURRENT: 13.61
S 1: 13.330
S 2: 13.205

Market Brief

Safe haven currencies turned bullish yesterday as risk aversion again shadowed over the markets despite good data released from Asia, Europe, and the U.S. Traders strongly believe that markets have run up too much faster than economic fundamentals, and further correction might continue. The VIX Index a barometer of risk aversion which measures stock market volatility and known as Wall’s Street’s fear gauge, rose 12% to 29.23, the most since July 13. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 2.2% and closed below 1,000 psychological support level at 998.04. Dow Jones also fell 2% closing at 9,310.60. Crude Oil fell $1.91 closing at $68.05.

The Aussie fell yesterday pressured by commodity prices drop, and less hawkish statement from Bank of Australia which maintained its key interest rate at 3.00%, sending the Aussie to one week low against the Dollar. Traders were awaiting a signal of rate hike, which was not provided by the central bank. AUS/USD pair was able to recover some of its losses as GDP expanded more than expected by 0.6% for Q2.

The Dollar index gained 0.56 points to 78.74, and expected to continue higher if stocks continued to decline. US ISM manufacturing index rose more than expected to 52.9 in Aug, indicating the manufacturing sector expanded for the first time since 2008, while US pending home sales climbed more than expected by 3.2% in July. Unemployment in Europe rose to 9.5% in July along with expectations, being the highest level since May 1999, while Germany’s unemployment unexpectedly declined by 1,000 Jobs where retails sales increased 0.7% MoM. Switzerland’s GDP declined a less than expected 0.3% QoQ. UK’s manufacturing index came below expectations at 49.7 in Aug. Finally from China, PMI increased 54.0 in Aug giving an opposite outlook of equity market, indicating China’s manufacturing expanded at its fastest pace since 16 months.

Focus today will turn on GDP results in Euro Zone and PMI construction from the UK. While the U.S. will release its ADP employment change and FOMC meeting minutes.



ACM Advanced Currency Markets SA (hereinafter referred as ACM) is a professional financial intermediary, directly regulated by the Swiss Federal Department of Finance, Anti Money Laundering Control Authority. As forex specialist, ACM provides only currency trading via highly professional forex trading software. All customers are aware that this information or any part thereof has been prepared without taking account of your objectives, financial situation and/or needs. This information is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. The analysis is based on the information which ACM finds reliable and accurate, but ACM does not assume any responsibility for any material nor for the transactions made on the basis of the information or the estimates of the analysis. ACM cannot guarantee that these forecasts will materialize and cannot be held liable in any way for direct, indirect and/or consequential loss arising from any use of this information, document or its content. All opinions and estimates constitute ACM analysis as of the data and are subject to change without notice. ACM does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of information contained herein, such information is subject to change and is not intended to influence your investment decisions. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
 
 
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