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European Session: Euro Weakens Despite Strong German Ifo Survey Results


August 26, 2009 3:33 PM CEST

G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
Jpy0.02
Nok-0.12
Eur-0.24
Dkk-0.26
Nzd-0.26
Chf-0.32
Cad-0.43
Sek-0.64
Gbp-0.69
Aud-0.65

Global Indexes Current Level % Change
DJIA futures9,520.00- 0.03
S&P future1,025.30- 0.08
Nasdaq futures1,637.75+ 0.08
FTSE 100 Index4,897.00- 0.49
CAC 40 Index3,669.50- 0.14
DAX Index5,534.00- 0.41
SMI Index6,192.00- 0.19

World Markets Current Level % Change
Crude wti71.65- 0.56
Gold948.10+ 0.36
Silver14.35+ 0.51
USD Index78.47+ 0.23
VIX24.92- 0.88

Todays Calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
No Major Events Scheduled

Currency Tech

EURUSD
R 2: 1.4380
R 1: 1.4338
CURRENT: 1.4300
S 1: 1.4280
S 2: 1.4240

GBPUSD
R 1: 1.6546
R 1: 1.6460
CURRENT: 1.6291
S 1: 1.6272
S 2: 1.6220

USDJPY
R 2: 95.45
R 1: 94.78
CURRENT: 94.10
S 1: 93.85
S 2: 93.00

USDCHF
R 2: 1.0740
R 1: 1.0692
CURRENT: 1.0614
S 1: 1.0556
S 2: 1.0452

Market Brief

The dollar strengthened across the majors with the largest gains posted against the sterling and the aussie. The EurUsd fell 15pips breaching 1.43 as a level of support, the UsdJpy is mostly unchanged at 94.17. Equity markets are trading lower in Europe, while futures point to a slightly lower open in the US. Commodities are mixed an interesting phenomenon in this asset class has been the inverse relationship between oil and gold, the price of WTI is slightly lower at $71bbl conversely gold is a bit higher at $948oz. Bond prices are mostly unchanged across the US Treasury curve, the 2, 10, and 30 yr rates are lower by 1bp respectively reflecting the lack of conviction in the market.

The economic fundamentals continue to fall into place for the Eurzone, but improving conditions are not being translating into the price of the Eur. August German Ifo surpassed expectations at 90.5 vs. estimates of 89.0, providing additional support for the broader recovery theme. Comments from lfo Economist Abberger cautioned optimistic investors regarding the pace of a recovery in Germany, managing expectations will be a key focus leaders on the political front among the G10. Traders long the Euro may not be prompted to exit just yet, but once volume returns a sharper direction in terms of price should arise along with momentum.

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ACM Advanced Currency Markets SA (hereinafter referred as ACM) is a professional financial intermediary, directly regulated by the Swiss Federal Department of Finance, Anti Money Laundering Control Authority. As forex specialist, ACM provides only currency trading via highly professional forex trading software. All customers are aware that this information or any part thereof has been prepared without taking account of your objectives, financial situation and/or needs. This information is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. The analysis is based on the information which ACM finds reliable and accurate, but ACM does not assume any responsibility for any material nor for the transactions made on the basis of the information or the estimates of the analysis. ACM cannot guarantee that these forecasts will materialize and cannot be held liable in any way for direct, indirect and/or consequential loss arising from any use of this information, document or its content. All opinions and estimates constitute ACM analysis as of the data and are subject to change without notice. ACM does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of information contained herein, such information is subject to change and is not intended to influence your investment decisions. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
 
 
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